Sunday, December 10, 2023

Eagles vs Chiefs Prop Bets for Monday Night Football

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Prop bet #1: Sticky Rice

The first prop that absolutely leaps off the board is the Rashee Rice odds to have Over 4.5 receptions at a big +125. 

Some talent evaluators were shocked when Rice was drafted 55th overall by the Chiefs, and after Skyy Moore’s rookie season last year, nobody was sure what to expect. However, we’re now 11 weeks into the season, and it’s clear that Rice is the team’s second option in the receiving game behind Travis Kelce, and that 4.5 receptions seems like a great line at plus money. 

We know this Eagles defense is good on the ground, so Patrick Mahomes will likely try to exploit their weakness through the air. Rice only has five or more receptions in two games this season, but  he’s been targeted five or more times in six of nine games. Against this defense, I think he’ll see a lot of action and haul in at least five passes.

Rashee Rice prop: Over 4.5 receptions (+125 at BetRivers)

Prop bet #2: Rice gets fed in red zone

We’re going back to Rice again here and taking the former SMU man to score a touchdown. The odds of +240 feel massive given that he’s scored in four of nine games this season, or just under 50% of the time. 

His big 6-foot-2 body makes him a real red zone threat, and when teams are in the red zone against the Eagles, they need to do it through the air and not the ground. Nobody in the league has given up less yardage on the ground per game than the Eagles, and on the flip side of that, their 14 receiving touchdowns allowed to wideouts is the most in the NFL. 

If it’s not going to Kelce, then it’s very likely to go to Rice.

Rashee Rice prop: Anytime TD (+240 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #3: All you need is shove

I absolutely, categorically refuse to use the term “brotherly shove.” But let’s be honest, the tactic is hugely effective, and Jalen Hurts has profited from it a lot already this season. You can get +130 on the Eagles’ QB to score a touchdown, which is insane pricing in the Jalen Hurts odds.

Hurts has seven rushing touchdowns in nine games so far and has only left the field without scoring in three contests. Yet the +130 odds imply just a 43.5% chance that he scores, which feels way off what they should be given his record this season. 

With the Chiefs’ defense being good against the pass, it makes even more sense that the Eagles will target their weaker ground game and that Hurts will be a huge part of that. Take that +130 price, as it’s big value.

Jalen Hurts prop: Anytime TD (+130 at DraftKings)

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