Thursday, February 29, 2024

Sunday College Basketball Sharp Report

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1 p.m. ET: Dayton vs VCU (-2.5, 124.5)

This is the Atlantic 10 championship final. Dayton (22-11) has won two straight and just took down Fordham 78-68 in yesterday’s semifinals, covering as 6.5-point neutral site favorites. Meanwhile, VCU (26-7) has won eight straight games and just crushed Saint Louis 90-78 in the semifinals, easily covering as 3.5-point neutral site favorites. This line opened with VCU listed as a short 2-point neutral site favorite. Pros have laid the chalk, driving VCU up from -2 to -2.5. Ken Pom has VCU winning the game by one point (65-64). He has VCU ranked 67th and Dayton 73rd. VCU is -145 on the moneyline. The total is 124.5. Both of these teams are “under” teams, with Dayton 21-12 to the under and VCU 19-14 to the under. Dayton is one of the slowest teams in the country at 62.6 possessions per game. VCU is 68.2. 


1 p.m. ET: Texas A&M vs Alabama (-4.5, 144.5)

This is the SEC championship final. Texas A&M (25-8, ranked 18th) has won four straight games and just beat Vanderbilt 87-75 in yesterday’s semifinals, covering as 5.5-point neutral site favorites. On the flip side, Alabama (28-5, ranked 4th) has won two straight and just brushed aside Missouri 72-61 in the semifinals, covering as 9.5-point neutral site favorites. This line opened with Alabama listed as a 3.5-point neutral site favorite. Sharps have laid the chalk, steaming Alabama up from -3.5 to -4.5. Ken Pom has Alabama winning by six points (76-70). He has Alabama ranked 3rd and Texas A&M 19th. Alabama has the edge on offense (83 PPG vs 73 PPG) and in rebounding (44 RPG vs 37 RPG). Pros have also leaned under, dropping the total from 145 to 144.5. 

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